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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águila v Alianza: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Águila

WLLLD
2–2
FT

Alianza

WDLWD
Águila 44%Draw 25%Alianza 32% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.21
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguila to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Águila vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alianza travel to face Águila on Sunday 6 September in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Águila are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26.

Current form

Águila, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Fuerte San Francisco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Alianza, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Balboa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Alianza 0–2 Águila. The last 4 head-to-heads: Águila 3 wins, Alianza 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águila 1.5 xG, Alianza 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águila 44%, draw 25%, Alianza 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águila 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águila44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Alianza32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
2.69Expected goals
1.48Águila xG
1.21Alianza xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Águila 1.5 – 1.2 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguila to win ✗44%2.292.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.83
Draw no betÁguila (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapAlianza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreÁguila to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águila / FT Águila ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Águila – last 6

WLLLDD
30 Augvs Fuerte San Francisco4–1W
23 Aug@ FAS0–1L
15 Augvs Atletico Balboa2–4L
8 Aug@ Isidro Metapán1–2L
2 Aug@ Cacahuatique2–2D
31 Jul@ Inter0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Alianza – last 6

WDLWDL
30 Augvs Atletico Balboa2–0W
26 Aug@ Platense2–2D
23 Aug@ Isidro Metapán0–2L
20 Aug@ CD Marathon1–0W
16 Augvs Cacahuatique0–0D
12 Aug@ Real Estelí1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Alianza v Águila0–2
6 May 2026Águila v Alianza2–1
16 Apr 2026Alianza v Águila0–2
19 Feb 2026Águila v Alianza0–3
Águila vs Alianza head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águila vs Alianza?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Águila vs Alianza?

On our numbers Águila have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza 32%.

How many goals will there be in Águila vs Alianza?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águila vs Alianza?

Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Águila vs Alianza?

Águila vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.