Alianza 63%Draw 21%Fuerte San Francisco 15%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.74
63%
Betarazi pick
Alianza to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlianza to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fuerte San Francisco travel to face Alianza on Thursday 24 September in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Municipal Limeño, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inca Aruba, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Fuerte San Francisco.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Alianza. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alianza 2 wins, Fuerte San Francisco 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.8 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 63%, draw 21%, Fuerte San Francisco 15%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza to win (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Fuerte San Francisco15%fair 6.64 · @5.50
2.56Expected goals
1.82Alianza xG
0.74Fuerte San Francisco xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.8 – 0.7 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Alianza to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Alianza have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fuerte San Francisco 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
