Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: FAS to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFAS to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceFAS or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40
FAS vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FAS welcome Alianza for a Primera Division fixture on Friday 9 October (02:30 WAT). In the table, FAS are 2nd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
FAS, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Inca Aruba, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Alianza, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Firpo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FAS, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Alianza.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Alianza 0–2 FAS. The last 2 head-to-heads: FAS 2 wins, Alianza 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FAS 1.8 xG, Alianza 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FAS 60%, draw 26%, Alianza 14%.
Lower-risk option: FAS or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: FAS to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FAS or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FAS 1–0 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FAS60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Alianza14%fair 6.91 · @4.00
2.60Expected goals
1.80FAS xG
0.80Alianza xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: FAS 1.8 – 0.8 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FAS or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FAS vs Alianza?
On our numbers FAS have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alianza 14%.
How many goals will there be in FAS vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FAS vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is FAS 1–0 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FAS vs Alianza?
FAS vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
