Value bet: Municipal Limeño to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.99
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal Limeño travel to face Alianza on Sunday 20 September in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Municipal Limeño are 8th (lower half) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Motagua, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Municipal Limeño, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fuerte San Francisco, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Municipal Limeño, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Alianza.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Municipal Limeño 0–0 Alianza. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alianza 1 win, Municipal Limeño 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.3 xG, Municipal Limeño 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 42%, draw 23%, Municipal Limeño 35%.
Price worth noting: Municipal Limeño to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Municipal Limeño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Municipal Limeño35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.29Alianza xG
1.16Municipal Limeño xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.3 – 1.2 Municipal Limeño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
On our numbers Alianza have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Municipal Limeño 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Municipal Limeño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
