Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 21 September the Primera Division brings Firpo against Atletico Balboa. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Firpo are 1st, leading the league, on 40 points after 20 matches; Atletico Balboa are 10th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Firpo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CD Olimpia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Atletico Balboa, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Platense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Balboa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Firpo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Firpo 1.7 xG, Atletico Balboa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Firpo 63%, draw 20%, Atletico Balboa 17%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Firpo to win (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Firpo 1–0 Atletico Balboa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Firpo63%fair 1.59 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Atletico Balboa17%fair 5.96 · @7.00
2.39Expected goals
1.69Firpo xG
0.70Atletico Balboa xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.7 – 0.7 Atletico Balboa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Firpo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Firpo – last 6
LLLWLD
18 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
14 Sep
vs Isidro Metapán
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs CD Olimpia
0–3
L
7 Sep
vs Inter
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ FAS
1–3
L
27 Aug
@ Xelajú
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Balboa – last 6
WLLLWW
12 Sep
vs Platense
3–1
W
9 Sep
@ Inca Aruba
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Municipal Limeño
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Alianza
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Águila
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Atletico Balboa.
What is the prediction for Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Our pick is Firpo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
On our numbers Firpo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Balboa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–0 Atletico Balboa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
