Fuerte San Francisco 14%Draw 21%Firpo 64%Expected goals 0.61 – 1.65
64%
Betarazi pick
Firpo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fuerte San Francisco welcome Firpo for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 1 October (22:30 WAT). In the table, Fuerte San Francisco are 12th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 20 matches; Firpo are 1st (leading the league) with 40. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Platense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Firpo, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Águila, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Firpo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Fuerte San Francisco.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Jul 2026) it ended Firpo 4–0 Fuerte San Francisco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 0.6 xG, Firpo 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 14%, draw 21%, Firpo 64%.
Lower-risk option: Firpo or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Firpo to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fuerte San Francisco14%fair 6.90 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Firpo64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
2.26Expected goals
0.61Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.65Firpo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 0.6 – 1.7 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
Our pick is Firpo to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Firpo 64%.
How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
