Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Alianza vs Firpo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Firpo travel to face Alianza on Sunday 4 October in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Firpo are 1st (leading the league) with 40. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Platense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Firpo, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Fuerte San Francisco, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.3 xG, Firpo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 36%, draw 24%, Firpo 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza36%fair 2.79 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Firpo40%fair 2.52 · @2.60
2.61Expected goals
1.26Alianza xG
1.35Firpo xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.3 – 1.3 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✗
40%
2.52
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Alianza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Alianza – last 6
WDDWDL
1 Oct
vs Platense
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Inca Aruba
1–1
D
24 Sep
vs Fuerte San Francisco
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Municipal Limeño
3–2
W
17 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ CD Motagua
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 6
WWDWLL
1 Oct
@ Fuerte San Francisco
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Águila
2–0
W
24 Sep
vs Cacahuatique
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs Atletico Balboa
3–1
W
18 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
14 Sep
vs Isidro Metapán
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Firpo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alianza vs Firpo?
On our numbers Alianza have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Firpo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Firpo?
Alianza vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
