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Isidro Metapán v Fuerte San Francisco: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
Isidro Metapán 66%Draw 19%Fuerte San Francisco 16% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.66
66%
Betarazi pick

Isidro Metapán to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceIsidro Metapán or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Primera Division brings Isidro Metapán against Fuerte San Francisco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Isidro Metapán are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Isidro Metapán, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Águila, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cacahuatique, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Isidro Metapán, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Fuerte San Francisco.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Fuerte San Francisco 1–0 Isidro Metapán. The last 2 head-to-heads: Isidro Metapán 0 wins, Fuerte San Francisco 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Isidro Metapán 1.7 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Isidro Metapán 66%, draw 19%, Fuerte San Francisco 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Isidro Metapán to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Isidro Metapán 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Isidro Metapán66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.00
Fuerte San Francisco16%fair 6.43 · @6.50
2.41Expected goals
1.75Isidro Metapán xG
0.66Fuerte San Francisco xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Isidro Metapán 1.7 – 0.7 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIsidro Metapán to win ✓66%1.521.40
Double chanceIsidro Metapán or draw ✓84%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.91
Draw no betIsidro Metapán (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapIsidro Metapán -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreIsidro Metapán to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultIsidro Metapán ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

Isidro Metapán – last 6

LWWDWW
11 Oct@ Águila0–3L
4 Octvs Atletico Balboa3–2W
27 Sepvs Cacahuatique2–0W
20 Sep@ Inter0–0D
14 Sep@ Firpo2–1W
9 Sep@ Platense2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fuerte San Francisco – last 6

WDLDDL
10 Octvs Cacahuatique2–1W
5 Oct@ Inter1–1D
1 Octvs Firpo0–3L
27 Sep@ Platense0–0D
24 Sep@ Alianza2–2D
19 Sep@ Inca Aruba1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Fuerte San Francisco v Isidro Metapán1–0
26 Apr 2026Isidro Metapán v Fuerte San Francisco1–3
Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Our pick is Isidro Metapán to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?

On our numbers Isidro Metapán have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fuerte San Francisco 16%.

How many goals will there be in Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Our predicted score is Isidro Metapán 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.