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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza v Isidro Metapán: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Alianza

LDDLD
1–0
FT
Alianza 38%Draw 24%Isidro Metapán 38% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.34
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11

Alianza vs Isidro Metapán: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Primera Division brings Alianza against Isidro Metapán. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Isidro Metapán are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Alianza, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Marathon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Isidro Metapán, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FAS, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Isidro Metapán, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Alianza.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Isidro Metapán 2–0 Alianza. The last 4 head-to-heads: Alianza 1 win, Isidro Metapán 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.3 xG, Isidro Metapán 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 38%, draw 24%, Isidro Metapán 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Isidro Metapán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Isidro Metapán38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
2.68Expected goals
1.34Alianza xG
1.34Isidro Metapán xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.3 – 1.3 Isidro Metapán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIsidro Metapán to win ✗38%2.632.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.80
Draw no betIsidro Metapán (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapAlianza +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreIsidro Metapán to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.11–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

LDDLDW
21 Oct@ CD Marathon1–2L
17 Oct@ Cacahuatique0–0D
12 Octvs Inter2–2D
9 Oct@ FAS1–2L
4 Octvs Firpo2–2D
1 Octvs Platense2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Isidro Metapán – last 6

DWLWWD
22 Oct@ FAS0–0D
18 Octvs Fuerte San Francisco3–2W
11 Oct@ Águila0–3L
4 Octvs Atletico Balboa3–2W
27 Sepvs Cacahuatique2–0W
20 Sep@ Inter0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026Isidro Metapán v Alianza2–0
22 Apr 2026Isidro Metapán v Alianza1–1
8 Apr 2026Alianza v Isidro Metapán3–1
2 Apr 2026Isidro Metapán v Alianza0–0
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

On our numbers Alianza have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Isidro Metapán 38%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Isidro Metapán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

Alianza vs Isidro Metapán (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.