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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fuerte San Francisco v Águila: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
3–4
FT

Águila

WDWWW
Fuerte San Francisco 20%Draw 22%Águila 58% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.81
58%
Betarazi pick

Águila to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguila to win ✓58% · @1.65
Double chanceÁguila or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Fuerte San Francisco v Águila in the Primera Division. In the table, Fuerte San Francisco are 12th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 20 matches; Águila are 4th (among the top four) with 30. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Balboa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Águila, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FAS, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Águila, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Fuerte San Francisco.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Águila 4–1 Fuerte San Francisco. The last 3 head-to-heads: Fuerte San Francisco 0 wins, Águila 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 xG, Águila 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 20%, draw 22%, Águila 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Águila or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Águila to win (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fuerte San Francisco20%fair 5.00 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Águila58%fair 1.72 · @1.65
2.76Expected goals
0.95Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.81Águila xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%

From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 – 1.8 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguila to win ✓58%1.721.65
Double chanceÁguila or draw ✓80%1.251.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.85
Draw no betÁguila (draw no bet) ✓74%1.34–
Asian handicapFuerte San Francisco +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
First team to scoreÁguila to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultÁguila ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águila / FT Águila ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Fuerte San Francisco – last 6

LLWDLD
24 Octvs Atletico Balboa1–2L
18 Oct@ Isidro Metapán2–3L
10 Octvs Cacahuatique2–1W
5 Oct@ Inter1–1D
1 Octvs Firpo0–3L
27 Sep@ Platense0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Águila – last 6

WDWWWL
25 Octvs FAS3–1W
18 Oct@ Atletico Balboa2–2D
11 Octvs Isidro Metapán3–0W
3 Octvs Cacahuatique4–1W
30 Sepvs Inter2–1W
27 Sep@ Firpo0–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Águila v Fuerte San Francisco4–1
1 Apr 2026Águila v Fuerte San Francisco1–1
26 Feb 2026Fuerte San Francisco v Águila0–1
Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

Our pick is Águila to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Águila 58%.

How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.