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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Inca Aruba v Isidro Metapán: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
1–1
FT
Inca Aruba 16%Draw 25%Isidro Metapán 59% Expected goals 0.79 – 1.73
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceIsidro Metapán or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Isidro Metapán travel to face Inca Aruba on Saturday 7 November in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Inca Aruba are 11th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 19 matches; Isidro Metapán are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Inca Aruba, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cacahuatique, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Isidro Metapán, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Municipal Limeño, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Isidro Metapán, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Inca Aruba.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Isidro Metapán 0–1 Inca Aruba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inca Aruba 0.8 xG, Isidro Metapán 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inca Aruba 16%, draw 25%, Isidro Metapán 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.88.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inca Aruba 0–1 Isidro Metapán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inca Aruba16%fair 6.24 · @4.88
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.50
Isidro Metapán59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
2.51Expected goals
0.79Inca Aruba xG
1.73Isidro Metapán xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Inca Aruba 0.8 – 1.7 Isidro Metapán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIsidro Metapán to win ✗59%1.691.62
Double chanceIsidro Metapán or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.88
Draw no betIsidro Metapán (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapInca Aruba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.07
First team to scoreIsidro Metapán to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Inca Aruba – last 6

LLLLDW
31 Oct@ Cacahuatique0–1L
24 Octvs Inter0–2L
16 Oct@ Firpo0–2L
10 Octvs Platense1–4L
5 Oct@ FAS1–1D
2 Octvs Municipal Limeño2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Isidro Metapán – last 6

DLDWLW
1 Novvs Municipal Limeño1–1D
25 Oct@ Alianza0–1L
22 Oct@ FAS0–0D
18 Octvs Fuerte San Francisco3–2W
11 Oct@ Águila0–3L
4 Octvs Atletico Balboa3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Isidro Metapán v Inca Aruba0–1
Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

On our numbers Inca Aruba have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Isidro Metapán 59%.

How many goals will there be in Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

Our predicted score is Inca Aruba 0–1 Isidro Metapán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán?

Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán (Primera Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.