Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza v Águila: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Alianza

LLDWL
3–2
FT

Águila

WWDWW
Alianza 33%Draw 21%Águila 46% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.58
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguila to win ✗46% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Alianza vs Águila: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Primera Division brings Alianza against Águila. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Águila are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Alianza, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Firpo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Águila, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Fuerte San Francisco, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Águila, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Alianza.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Águila 2–2 Alianza. The last 5 head-to-heads: Alianza 1 win, Águila 3, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.8 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.3 xG, Águila 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 33%, draw 21%, Águila 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.58.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza33%fair 3.03 · @2.83
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.36
Águila46%fair 2.20 · @2.18
2.87Expected goals
1.30Alianza xG
1.58Águila xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.3 – 1.6 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguila to win ✗46%2.202.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.58
Draw no betÁguila (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapAlianza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.201.09
First team to scoreÁguila to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águila / FT Águila ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

LLDWLD
5 Nov@ Firpo0–2L
1 Nov@ Atletico Balboa0–1L
28 Octvs CD Marathon0–0D
25 Octvs Isidro Metapán1–0W
21 Oct@ CD Marathon1–2L
17 Oct@ Cacahuatique0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Águila – last 6

WWDWWW
1 Nov@ Fuerte San Francisco4–3W
25 Octvs FAS3–1W
18 Oct@ Atletico Balboa2–2D
11 Octvs Isidro Metapán3–0W
3 Octvs Cacahuatique4–1W
30 Sepvs Inter2–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Águila v Alianza2–2
10 May 2026Alianza v Águila0–2
6 May 2026Águila v Alianza2–1
16 Apr 2026Alianza v Águila0–2
19 Feb 2026Águila v Alianza0–3
Alianza vs Águila head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs Águila?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Alianza vs Águila?

On our numbers Alianza have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Águila 46%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Águila?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Águila?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs Águila?

Alianza vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.