Fuerte San Francisco 26%Draw 25%Alianza 50%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.56
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlianza to win50% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.72
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fuerte San Francisco welcome Alianza for a Primera Division fixture on Wednesday 11 November (22:30 WAT). In the table, Fuerte San Francisco are 12th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 20 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FAS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Alianza, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Águila, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Alianza 2–2 Fuerte San Francisco. The last 3 head-to-heads: Fuerte San Francisco 0 wins, Alianza 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 1.1 xG, Alianza 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 26%, draw 25%, Alianza 50%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fuerte San Francisco26%fair 3.91 · @3.99
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
Alianza50%fair 2.02 · @1.80
2.70Expected goals
1.14Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.56Alianza xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 1.1 – 1.6 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
-14%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.51
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza 50%.
How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?
Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
