Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Atletico Balboa v Inca Aruba in the Primera Division. In the table, Atletico Balboa are 10th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 19 matches; Inca Aruba are 11th (in the drop zone) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atletico Balboa, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Municipal Limeño, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Inca Aruba, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Isidro Metapán, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Balboa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Inca Aruba.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Sep 2026) it ended Inca Aruba 1–0 Atletico Balboa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Balboa 1.8 xG, Inca Aruba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Balboa 58%, draw 24%, Inca Aruba 18%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.56.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Balboa 1–0 Inca Aruba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Balboa58%fair 1.72 · @1.61
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.72
Inca Aruba18%fair 5.58 · @4.30
2.73Expected goals
1.80Atletico Balboa xG
0.93Inca Aruba xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Atletico Balboa 1.8 – 0.9 Inca Aruba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Balboa
Inca Aruba
Attack vs Primera Division average
-0%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.91
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
On our numbers Atletico Balboa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Inca Aruba 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
Our predicted score is Atletico Balboa 1–0 Inca Aruba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
