Value bet: Real San Joaquín to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal San Joaquín to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 10 August: Real San Joaquín v Santiago Morning in the Segunda División. In the table, Real San Joaquín are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Santiago Morning are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real San Joaquín, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Colina, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Santiago Morning, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportes Rengo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real San Joaquín 1.4 xG, Santiago Morning 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real San Joaquín 40%, draw 26%, Santiago Morning 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Real San Joaquín to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real San Joaquín 1–1 Santiago Morning. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real San Joaquín40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
Santiago Morning34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
2.54Expected goals
1.38Real San Joaquín xG
1.15Santiago Morning xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Real San Joaquín 1.4 – 1.2 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real San Joaquín to win✗
40%
2.48
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Real San Joaquín (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Santiago Morning +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Real San Joaquín to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real San Joaquín / FT Real San Joaquín✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Real San Joaquín – last 6
LLDWLD
12 Jul
@ Colina
1–5
L
5 Jul
vs Trasandino
1–2
L
28 Jun
@ Municipal Salamanca
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Provincial Ovalle
6–1
W
7 Jun
vs Concón National
0–1
L
25 May
@ Santiago City
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santiago Morning – last 6
LLDLDD
4 Jul
@ Deportes Rengo
1–3
L
28 Jun
vs Linares Unido
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Lota Schwager
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
24 May
@ Colchagua
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real San Joaquín and Santiago Morning.
What is the prediction for Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Real San Joaquín have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santiago Morning 34%.
How many goals will there be in Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Real San Joaquín 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
