Santiago Morning 62%Draw 22%Colina 16%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.67
84%
Betarazi pick
Santiago Morning or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Santiago Morning to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSantiago Morning to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceSantiago Morning or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.10
Santiago Morning vs Colina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santiago Morning welcome Colina to Estadio Municipal de La Pintana for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 17 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Santiago Morning are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Colina are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santiago Morning, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real San Joaquín, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Colina, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportes Rengo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santiago Morning 1.7 xG, Colina 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santiago Morning 62%, draw 22%, Colina 16%.
Lower-risk option: Santiago Morning or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Santiago Morning to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santiago Morning or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santiago Morning 1–0 Colina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santiago Morning62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Colina16%fair 6.39 · @3.45
2.34Expected goals
1.66Santiago Morning xG
0.67Colina xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Santiago Morning 1.7 – 0.7 Colina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santiago Morning to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Santiago Morning or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Santiago Morning (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Santiago Morning -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Santiago Morning to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santiago Morning / FT Santiago Morning✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Santiago Morning – last 6
DLLDLD
10 Aug
@ Real San Joaquín
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Deportes Rengo
1–3
L
28 Jun
vs Linares Unido
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Lota Schwager
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colina – last 6
LWLDLL
8 Aug
vs Deportes Rengo
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Real San Joaquín
5–1
W
4 Jul
@ Provincial Ovalle
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Concón National
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Municipal Salamanca
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Santiago City
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santiago Morning and Colina.
What is the prediction for Santiago Morning vs Colina?
Our pick is Santiago Morning or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santiago Morning vs Colina?
On our numbers Santiago Morning have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colina 16%.
How many goals will there be in Santiago Morning vs Colina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santiago Morning vs Colina?
Our predicted score is Santiago Morning 1–0 Colina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santiago Morning vs Colina?
Santiago Morning vs Colina (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de La Pintana.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
