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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportes Rengo v Santiago Morning: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz
2–2
FT
Deportes Rengo 39%Draw 22%Santiago Morning 39% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.17
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
1

Value bet: Deportes Rengo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSantiago Morning to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83

Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santiago Morning travel to face Deportes Rengo on Sunday 6 September in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Deportes Rengo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Santiago Morning are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportes Rengo, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Real San Joaquín, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Santiago Morning, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Provincial Ovalle, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportes Rengo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Santiago Morning.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Deportes Rengo 3–1 Santiago Morning.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Rengo 1.2 xG, Santiago Morning 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Rengo 39%, draw 22%, Santiago Morning 39%.
  • Price worth noting: Deportes Rengo to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Rengo 1–1 Santiago Morning. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportes Rengo39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Santiago Morning39%fair 2.54 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
1.16Deportes Rengo xG
1.17Santiago Morning xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportes Rengo 1.2 – 1.2 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantiago Morning to win ✗39%2.542.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betSantiago Morning (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapDeportes Rengo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSantiago Morning to score first ✗45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santiago Morning / FT Santiago Morning ✗21%4.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.83–

Recent results

Deportes Rengo – last 6

WDWWLW
31 Aug@ Real San Joaquín5–2W
22 Augvs General Velásquez1–1D
16 Augvs Lota Schwager1–0W
8 Aug@ Colina1–0W
12 Jul@ General Velásquez0–2L
4 Julvs Santiago Morning3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santiago Morning – last 6

DDWDLL
30 Augvs Provincial Ovalle0–0D
22 Aug@ Lota Schwager1–1D
17 Augvs Colina2–1W
10 Aug@ Real San Joaquín2–2D
4 Jul@ Deportes Rengo1–3L
28 Junvs Linares Unido0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Deportes Rengo v Santiago Morning3–1
Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?

On our numbers Deportes Rengo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santiago Morning 39%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?

Our predicted score is Deportes Rengo 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?

Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.