Provincial Ovalle v Colina Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultColina to win ✗42% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22

Provincial Ovalle vs Colina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Provincial Ovalle welcome Colina to Estadio Diaguita for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 7 September (22:00 WAT). In the table, Provincial Ovalle are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Colina are 11th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Provincial Ovalle, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santiago Morning, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Colina, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lota Schwager, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Provincial Ovalle 2–1 Colina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Provincial Ovalle 1.1 xG, Colina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Provincial Ovalle 35%, draw 23%, Colina 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Colina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Provincial Ovalle35%fair 2.84 · @2.80

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00

Colina42%fair 2.40 · @2.30

2.37Expected goals

1.12Provincial Ovalle xG

1.25Colina xG

58%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Provincial Ovalle 1.1 – 1.3 Colina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Colina to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.73	1.75
Draw no bet	Colina (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	Provincial Ovalle +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.27	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Colina to score first ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Colina / FT Colina ✗	23%	4.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.22	–

Provincial Ovalle – last 6

DDLWLL

30 Aug	@ Santiago Morning	0–0	D
22 Aug	vs Real San Joaquín	1–1	D
16 Aug	@ General Velásquez	0–1	L
4 Jul	vs Colina	2–1	W
26 Jun	@ Santiago City	2–3	L
21 Jun	vs Real San Joaquín	1–6	L

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Colina – last 6

DLLWLD

29 Aug	vs Lota Schwager	0–0	D
17 Aug	@ Santiago Morning	1–2	L
8 Aug	vs Deportes Rengo	0–1	L
12 Jul	vs Real San Joaquín	5–1	W
4 Jul	@ Provincial Ovalle	1–2	L
27 Jun	@ Concón National	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Segunda División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-4

-1

-2

-7

-5

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?

On our numbers Provincial Ovalle have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colina 42%.

How many goals will there be in Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?

Our predicted score is Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Colina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?

Provincial Ovalle vs Colina (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Provincial Ovalle v Colina: numbers & prediction