Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Provincial Ovalle to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultProvincial Ovalle to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceProvincial Ovalle or draw ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Segunda División brings Provincial Ovalle against Deportes Rengo at Estadio Diaguita. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Provincial Ovalle are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Deportes Rengo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Provincial Ovalle, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lota Schwager, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Deportes Rengo, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Santiago Morning, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Provincial Ovalle 1.6 xG, Deportes Rengo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Provincial Ovalle 56%, draw 23%, Deportes Rengo 22%.
Lower-risk option: Provincial Ovalle or draw (78%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Provincial Ovalle to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Provincial Ovalle or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Provincial Ovalle 1–0 Deportes Rengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Provincial Ovalle56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Deportes Rengo22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.58Provincial Ovalle xG
0.87Deportes Rengo xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Provincial Ovalle 1.6 – 0.9 Deportes Rengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Provincial Ovalle to win✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Provincial Ovalle or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Draw no bet
Provincial Ovalle (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Rengo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Provincial Ovalle to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Provincial Ovalle / FT Provincial Ovalle✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Provincial Ovalle – last 6
WWDDLW
26 Sep
@ Lota Schwager
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Colina
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Santiago Morning
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Real San Joaquín
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ General Velásquez
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Colina
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportes Rengo – last 6
DWDWWL
6 Sep
vs Santiago Morning
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Real San Joaquín
5–2
W
22 Aug
vs General Velásquez
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Lota Schwager
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Colina
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ General Velásquez
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Provincial Ovalle and Deportes Rengo.
What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo?
Our pick is Provincial Ovalle or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo?
On our numbers Provincial Ovalle have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportes Rengo 22%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo?
Our predicted score is Provincial Ovalle 1–0 Deportes Rengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo?
Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
