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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lota Schwager v Deportes Rengo: numbers & prediction

5–1
FT
Lota Schwager 61%Draw 20%Deportes Rengo 19% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.73
81%
Betarazi pick

Lota Schwager or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Lota Schwager to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLota Schwager to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceLota Schwager or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Lota Schwager v Deportes Rengo in the Segunda División. In the table, Lota Schwager are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Deportes Rengo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lota Schwager, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over General Velásquez, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Deportes Rengo, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colina, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Deportes Rengo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Lota Schwager.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Deportes Rengo 1–0 Lota Schwager. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lota Schwager 0 wins, Deportes Rengo 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lota Schwager 1.6 xG, Deportes Rengo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lota Schwager 61%, draw 20%, Deportes Rengo 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lota Schwager or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Lota Schwager to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lota Schwager or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lota Schwager 1–0 Deportes Rengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lota Schwager61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.30
Deportes Rengo19%fair 5.32 · @3.40
2.35Expected goals
1.62Lota Schwager xG
0.73Deportes Rengo xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Lota Schwager 1.6 – 0.7 Deportes Rengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLota Schwager to win ✓61%1.641.85 ▲
Double chanceLota Schwager or draw ✓81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.67
Draw no betLota Schwager (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapDeportes Rengo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreLota Schwager to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lota Schwager / FT Lota Schwager ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Lota Schwager – last 6

WWLDDL
11 Oct@ General Velásquez2–1W
3 Oct@ Real San Joaquín2–0W
26 Sepvs Provincial Ovalle1–2L
29 Aug@ Colina0–0D
22 Augvs Santiago Morning1–1D
16 Aug@ Deportes Rengo0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportes Rengo – last 6

WWDWDW
11 Octvs Colina2–1W
3 Oct@ Provincial Ovalle5–1W
6 Sepvs Santiago Morning2–2D
31 Aug@ Real San Joaquín5–2W
22 Augvs General Velásquez1–1D
16 Augvs Lota Schwager1–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Deportes Rengo v Lota Schwager1–0
6 Jun 2026Deportes Rengo v Lota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?

Our pick is Lota Schwager or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?

On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportes Rengo 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?

Our predicted score is Lota Schwager 1–0 Deportes Rengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?

Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.