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Santiago Morning v Lota Schwager: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
1–4
FT
Santiago Morning 35%Draw 24%Lota Schwager 40% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.12
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultLota Schwager to win ✓40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64

Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Santiago Morning v Lota Schwager in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de La Pintana. In the table, Santiago Morning are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Lota Schwager are 10th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Santiago Morning, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Lota Schwager, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Deportes Rengo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lota Schwager, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Santiago Morning.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning. The last 2 head-to-heads: Santiago Morning 0 wins, Lota Schwager 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santiago Morning 1.0 xG, Lota Schwager 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santiago Morning 35%, draw 24%, Lota Schwager 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santiago Morning 0–1 Lota Schwager. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santiago Morning35%fair 2.82 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Lota Schwager40%fair 2.47 · @2.62
2.15Expected goals
1.03Santiago Morning xG
1.12Lota Schwager xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Santiago Morning 1.0 – 1.1 Lota Schwager expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLota Schwager to win ✓40%2.472.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.83
Draw no betLota Schwager (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapSantiago Morning +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
First team to scoreLota Schwager to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lota Schwager / FT Lota Schwager ✗21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.64–

Recent results

Santiago Morning – last 6

DLDDDD
25 Oct@ Colina1–1D
11 Octvs Real San Joaquín1–2L
12 Sepvs General Velásquez0–0D
6 Sep@ Deportes Rengo2–2D
30 Augvs Provincial Ovalle0–0D
22 Aug@ Lota Schwager1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lota Schwager – last 6

WWWLDD
24 Octvs Deportes Rengo5–1W
11 Oct@ General Velásquez2–1W
3 Oct@ Real San Joaquín2–0W
26 Sepvs Provincial Ovalle1–2L
29 Aug@ Colina0–0D
22 Augvs Santiago Morning1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Lota Schwager v Santiago Morning1–1
21 Jun 2026Lota Schwager v Santiago Morning1–1
Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager?

On our numbers Santiago Morning have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lota Schwager 40%.

How many goals will there be in Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager?

Our predicted score is Santiago Morning 0–1 Lota Schwager, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager?

Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de La Pintana.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.