Double chanceProvincial Osorno or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Provincial Osorno vs Concón National: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Provincial Osorno v Concón National in the Segunda División. In the table, Provincial Osorno are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 12 matches; Concón National are 4th (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Provincial Osorno, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lota Schwager, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Concón National, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Santiago City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Concón National, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.4 for Provincial Osorno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Provincial Osorno 1.4 xG, Concón National 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Provincial Osorno 52%, draw 27%, Concón National 21%.
Lower-risk option: Provincial Osorno or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Provincial Osorno 1–0 Concón National. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Provincial Osorno52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Concón National21%fair 4.67 · @3.85
2.27Expected goals
1.40Provincial Osorno xG
0.86Concón National xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Provincial Osorno 1.4 – 0.9 Concón National expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Provincial Osorno to win✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Double chance
Provincial Osorno or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Provincial Osorno (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Concón National +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Provincial Osorno to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Provincial Osorno / FT Provincial Osorno✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Provincial Osorno – last 5
DWDDD
12 Jul
@ Lota Schwager
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs General Velásquez
3–0
W
21 Jun
@ Colchagua
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Linares Unido
1–1
D
30 May
@ Santiago Morning
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Concón National – last 6
WLDWWW
11 Jul
vs Santiago City
4–2
W
5 Jul
@ Municipal Salamanca
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Colina
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Real San Joaquín
1–0
W
30 May
vs Provincial Ovalle
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Colina
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Provincial Osorno and Concón National.
What is the prediction for Provincial Osorno vs Concón National?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Provincial Osorno vs Concón National?
On our numbers Provincial Osorno have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Concón National 21%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Osorno vs Concón National?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Osorno vs Concón National?
Our predicted score is Provincial Osorno 1–0 Concón National, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Provincial Osorno vs Concón National?
Provincial Osorno vs Concón National (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
