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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colchagua v Provincial Osorno: numbers & prediction

2–0
FT
Colchagua 40%Draw 23%Provincial Osorno 38% Expected goals 0.91 – 0.88
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultColchagua to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55

Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the Segunda División brings Colchagua against Provincial Osorno. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Colchagua are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Provincial Osorno are 1st (leading the league) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Colchagua, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Concón National, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Provincial Osorno, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santiago City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Provincial Osorno, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Colchagua.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Colchagua 0–0 Provincial Osorno.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colchagua 0.9 xG, Provincial Osorno 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colchagua 40%, draw 23%, Provincial Osorno 38%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchagua 0–0 Provincial Osorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colchagua40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Provincial Osorno38%fair 2.66 · @2.62
1.79Expected goals
0.91Colchagua xG
0.88Provincial Osorno xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Colchagua 0.9 – 0.9 Provincial Osorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColchagua to win ✓40%2.522.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.83
Draw no betColchagua (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapProvincial Osorno +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.87–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreColchagua to score first ✓43%2.35–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.55–

Recent results

Colchagua – last 6

LLLDLL
13 Sep@ Concón National0–1L
5 Sep@ Linares Unido0–1L
1 Sepvs Municipal Salamanca0–1L
22 Aug@ Trasandino0–0D
9 Augvs Santiago City0–1L
12 Jul@ Linares Unido0–4L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Provincial Osorno – last 6

LLDLWD
13 Sepvs Santiago City1–2L
6 Sep@ Municipal Salamanca1–2L
29 Augvs Trasandino2–2D
16 Aug@ Linares Unido0–1L
8 Augvs Concón National1–0W
12 Jul@ Lota Schwager2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Colchagua v Provincial Osorno0–0
Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno?

On our numbers Colchagua have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Provincial Osorno 38%.

How many goals will there be in Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno?

Our predicted score is Colchagua 0–0 Provincial Osorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno?

Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.