Concón National vs Provincial Osorno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Concón National v Provincial Osorno in the Segunda División. In the table, Concón National are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Provincial Osorno are 1st (leading the league) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Concón National, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colchagua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Provincial Osorno, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colchagua, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Concón National, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Provincial Osorno.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Provincial Osorno 1–0 Concón National.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concón National 1.2 xG, Provincial Osorno 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concón National 44%, draw 24%, Provincial Osorno 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concón National 1–1 Provincial Osorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concón National44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Provincial Osorno31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
2.06Expected goals
1.16Concón National xG
0.90Provincial Osorno xG
56%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Concón National 1.2 – 0.9 Provincial Osorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
On our numbers Concón National have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Provincial Osorno 31%.
How many goals will there be in Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
Our predicted score is Concón National 1–1 Provincial Osorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
Concón National vs Provincial Osorno (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.