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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Concón National v Provincial Osorno: numbers & prediction

Concón National 44%Draw 24%Provincial Osorno 31% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.90
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultConcón National to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.98

Concón National vs Provincial Osorno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Concón National v Provincial Osorno in the Segunda División. In the table, Concón National are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Provincial Osorno are 1st (leading the league) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Concón National, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colchagua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Provincial Osorno, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colchagua, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Concón National, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Provincial Osorno.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Provincial Osorno 1–0 Concón National.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Concón National 1.2 xG, Provincial Osorno 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Concón National 44%, draw 24%, Provincial Osorno 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concón National 1–1 Provincial Osorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Concón National44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Provincial Osorno31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
2.06Expected goals
1.16Concón National xG
0.90Provincial Osorno xG
56%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Concón National 1.2 – 0.9 Provincial Osorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConcón National to win ✗44%2.252.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.75
Draw no betConcón National (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapProvincial Osorno +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreConcón National to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Concón National / FT Concón National ✗24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.98–

Recent results

Concón National – last 6

WLWWLL
13 Sepvs Colchagua1–0W
5 Sep@ Santiago City0–3L
29 Augvs Linares Unido3–1W
22 Aug@ Municipal Salamanca2–0W
16 Augvs Trasandino1–3L
8 Aug@ Provincial Osorno0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Provincial Osorno – last 6

LLLDLW
4 Oct@ Colchagua0–2L
13 Sepvs Santiago City1–2L
6 Sep@ Municipal Salamanca1–2L
29 Augvs Trasandino2–2D
16 Aug@ Linares Unido0–1L
8 Augvs Concón National1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Provincial Osorno v Concón National1–0
Concón National vs Provincial Osorno head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?

On our numbers Concón National have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Provincial Osorno 31%.

How many goals will there be in Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?

Our predicted score is Concón National 1–1 Provincial Osorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?

Concón National vs Provincial Osorno (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.