Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✗62% · @1.46
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✗83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
IFK Luleå vs Boden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boden travel to face IFK Luleå on Wednesday 12 August in the Division 2 Norrland – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, IFK Luleå are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Boden are 4th (among the top four) with 17.
Current form
IFK Luleå, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gottne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Boden, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Täfteå, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours IFK Luleå, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Boden.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Boden 1–4 IFK Luleå. The last 2 head-to-heads: IFK Luleå 1 win, Boden 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Luleå 2.2 xG, Boden 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Luleå 62%, draw 20%, Boden 17%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Luleå 2–1 Boden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Luleå62%fair 1.61 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.30
Boden17%fair 5.74 · @5.10
3.25Expected goals
2.18IFK Luleå xG
1.07Boden xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 2.2 – 1.1 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs Boden?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Boden 17%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs Boden?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs Boden?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 2–1 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs Boden?
IFK Luleå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
