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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Skellefteå v IFK Luleå: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Skellefteå 63%Draw 15%IFK Luleå 22% Expected goals 2.10 – 1.12
63%
Betarazi pick

Skellefteå to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultSkellefteå to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IFK Luleå travel to face Skellefteå on Saturday 15 August in the Division 2 Norrland – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Skellefteå are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; IFK Luleå are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Skellefteå, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Täfteå, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

IFK Luleå, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Boden, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Skellefteå, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for IFK Luleå.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended IFK Luleå 0–1 Skellefteå.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Skellefteå 2.1 xG, IFK Luleå 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Skellefteå 63%, draw 15%, IFK Luleå 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Skellefteå to win (63%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skellefteå 2–1 IFK Luleå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Skellefteå63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @3.75
IFK Luleå22%fair 4.52 · @3.20
3.22Expected goals
2.10Skellefteå xG
1.12IFK Luleå xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Skellefteå 2.1 – 1.1 IFK Luleå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSkellefteå to win ✓63%1.601.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.42
Draw no betSkellefteå (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapIFK Luleå +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.701.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreSkellefteå to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultSkellefteå ahead at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Skellefteå / FT Skellefteå ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Skellefteå – last 6

WWWWWD
12 Aug@ Täfteå2–0W
8 Augvs Lucksta3–0W
1 Aug@ Kubikenborg2–1W
27 Jun@ IFK Luleå1–0W
21 Junvs Umeå FC Akademi4–0W
13 Jun@ Boden1–1D
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

IFK Luleå – last 6

LWWLWL
12 Augvs Boden0–1L
8 Aug@ Gottne1–0W
1 Augvs IFK Östersund4–3W
27 Junvs Skellefteå0–1L
22 Jun@ Boden4–1W
13 Junvs Storfors0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026IFK Luleå v Skellefteå0–1
Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

More Division 2 Norrland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå?

Our pick is Skellefteå to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå?

On our numbers Skellefteå have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and IFK Luleå 22%.

How many goals will there be in Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå?

Our predicted score is Skellefteå 2–1 IFK Luleå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå?

Skellefteå vs IFK Luleå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.