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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IFK Östersund v Lucksta: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT

Lucksta

LLWWL
IFK Östersund 61%Draw 16%Lucksta 22% Expected goals 2.41 – 1.39
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: IFK Östersund to win @ 1.74 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultIFK Östersund to win ✓61% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06

IFK Östersund vs Lucksta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: IFK Östersund v Lucksta in the Division 2 Norrland. In the table, IFK Östersund are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 12 matches; Lucksta are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

IFK Östersund, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Gottne, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Lucksta, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kubikenborg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended IFK Östersund 4–2 Lucksta. The last 2 head-to-heads: IFK Östersund 2 wins, Lucksta 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IFK Östersund 2.4 xG, Lucksta 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Östersund 61%, draw 16%, Lucksta 22%.
  • Price worth noting: IFK Östersund to win @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Östersund 2–1 Lucksta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IFK Östersund61%fair 1.63 · @1.74
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @3.80
Lucksta22%fair 4.49 · @3.35
3.80Expected goals
2.41IFK Östersund xG
1.39Lucksta xG
55%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–05%

From our goals model: IFK Östersund 2.4 – 1.4 Lucksta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIFK Östersund to win ✓61%1.631.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.201.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betIFK Östersund (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapIFK Östersund -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.901.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.511.38
First team to scoreIFK Östersund to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultIFK Östersund ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT IFK Östersund / FT IFK Östersund ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.06–

Recent results

IFK Östersund – last 6

LWLDDW
12 Aug@ Gottne0–4L
8 Augvs Kubikenborg2–0W
1 Aug@ IFK Luleå3–4L
21 Jun@ Umea FF1–1D
14 Junvs Kubikenborg1–1D
10 Jun@ Fransta2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lucksta – last 6

LLWWLL
12 Augvs Kubikenborg1–3L
8 Aug@ Skellefteå0–3L
1 Augvs Boden3–0W
28 Junvs Gottne3–0W
14 Junvs Umea FF1–5L
11 Jun@ Kubikenborg1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026IFK Östersund v Lucksta4–2
12 Apr 2026Lucksta v IFK Östersund2–4
IFK Östersund vs Lucksta head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

On our numbers IFK Östersund have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lucksta 22%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

Our predicted score is IFK Östersund 2–1 Lucksta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

IFK Östersund vs Lucksta (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.