Value bet: Täfteå to win @ 1.88 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTäfteå to win ✓62% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Täfteå vs Lucksta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Division 2 Norrland brings Täfteå against Lucksta. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Täfteå are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Lucksta are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Täfteå, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kubikenborg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lucksta, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to IFK Östersund, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Täfteå 2.4 xG, Lucksta 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Täfteå 62%, draw 13%, Lucksta 25%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Täfteå to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Täfteå 2–1 Lucksta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Täfteå62%fair 1.61 · @1.88
Draw13%fair 7.68 · @3.94
Lucksta25%fair 4.04 · @3.06
3.78Expected goals
2.38Täfteå xG
1.40Lucksta xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Täfteå 2.4 – 1.4 Lucksta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Täfteå to win✓
62%
1.61
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Draw no bet
Täfteå (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Lucksta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
First team to score
Täfteå to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Täfteå ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Täfteå / FT Täfteå✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Täfteå – last 6
LLLWLD
15 Aug
@ Kubikenborg
1–3
L
12 Aug
vs Skellefteå
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Boden
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Gottne
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Umeå FC
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Boden
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lucksta – last 6
LLLWWL
16 Aug
@ IFK Östersund
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Kubikenborg
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Skellefteå
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Boden
3–0
W
28 Jun
vs Gottne
3–0
W
14 Jun
vs Umea FF
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Täfteå and Lucksta.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Täfteå vs Lucksta?
On our numbers Täfteå have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Lucksta 25%.
How many goals will there be in Täfteå vs Lucksta?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Täfteå vs Lucksta?
Our predicted score is Täfteå 2–1 Lucksta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Täfteå vs Lucksta?
Täfteå vs Lucksta (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
