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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Skellefteå v Boden: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT

Boden

DWWWL
Skellefteå 64%Draw 23%Boden 13% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.89
64%
Betarazi pick

Skellefteå to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultSkellefteå to win ✗64% · @1.38
Double chanceSkellefteå or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.74

Skellefteå vs Boden: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Boden travel to face Skellefteå on Saturday 29 August in the Division 2 Norrland – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Skellefteå are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Boden are 4th (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Skellefteå, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gottne, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Boden, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with IFK Östersund, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Skellefteå, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Boden.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Boden 1–1 Skellefteå. The last 2 head-to-heads: Skellefteå 1 win, Boden 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Skellefteå 2.1 xG, Boden 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 47% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Skellefteå 64%, draw 23%, Boden 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Skellefteå to win (64%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skellefteå 2–0 Boden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Skellefteå64%fair 1.55 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.25
Boden13%fair 7.63 · @5.60
3.03Expected goals
2.14Skellefteå xG
0.89Boden xG
47%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Skellefteå 2.1 – 0.9 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSkellefteå to win ✗64%1.551.38
Double chanceSkellefteå or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betSkellefteå (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapSkellefteå -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.43
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
First team to scoreSkellefteå to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultSkellefteå ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Skellefteå / FT Skellefteå ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%12.74–

Recent results

Skellefteå – last 6

DWWWWW
22 Aug@ Gottne2–2D
15 Augvs IFK Luleå3–1W
12 Aug@ Täfteå2–0W
8 Augvs Lucksta3–0W
1 Aug@ Kubikenborg2–1W
27 Jun@ IFK Luleå1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Boden – last 6

DWWWLD
22 Augvs IFK Östersund2–2D
15 Augvs Gottne3–2W
12 Aug@ IFK Luleå1–0W
8 Augvs Täfteå2–1W
1 Aug@ Lucksta0–3L
27 Jun@ Täfteå1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Boden v Skellefteå1–1
6 May 2026Skellefteå v Boden2–0
Skellefteå vs Boden head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Skellefteå vs Boden?

Our pick is Skellefteå to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Skellefteå vs Boden?

On our numbers Skellefteå have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boden 13%.

How many goals will there be in Skellefteå vs Boden?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Skellefteå vs Boden?

Our predicted score is Skellefteå 2–0 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Skellefteå vs Boden?

Skellefteå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.