Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Boden vs IFK Luleå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boden welcome IFK Luleå for a Division 2 Norrland fixture on Wednesday 16 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Boden are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 12 matches; IFK Luleå are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Boden, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Kubikenborg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
IFK Luleå, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Täfteå, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Aug 2026) it ended IFK Luleå 0–1 Boden. The last 3 head-to-heads: Boden 1 win, IFK Luleå 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boden 1.1 xG, IFK Luleå 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boden 23%, draw 13%, IFK Luleå 64%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was IFK Luleå to win (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boden 1–2 IFK Luleå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boden23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Draw13%fair 7.47 · @3.80
IFK Luleå64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
3.23Expected goals
1.12Boden xG
2.11IFK Luleå xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Boden 1.1 – 2.1 IFK Luleå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is IFK Luleå to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Boden vs IFK Luleå?
On our numbers Boden have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 13% and IFK Luleå 64%.
How many goals will there be in Boden vs IFK Luleå?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boden vs IFK Luleå?
Our predicted score is Boden 1–2 IFK Luleå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Boden vs IFK Luleå?
Boden vs IFK Luleå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
