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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IFK Luleå v Skellefteå: numbers & prediction

4–2
FT
IFK Luleå 41%Draw 21%Skellefteå 38% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.55
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultIFK Luleå to win ✓41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Skellefteå travel to face IFK Luleå on Saturday 3 October in the Division 2 Norrland – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, IFK Luleå are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Skellefteå are 1st (leading the league) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

IFK Luleå, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kubikenborg, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Skellefteå, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gottne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours IFK Luleå, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Skellefteå.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Skellefteå 3–1 IFK Luleå. The last 2 head-to-heads: IFK Luleå 0 wins, Skellefteå 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IFK Luleå 1.6 xG, Skellefteå 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Luleå 41%, draw 21%, Skellefteå 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Luleå 1–1 Skellefteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IFK Luleå41%fair 2.44 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.48
Skellefteå38%fair 2.63 · @2.41
3.16Expected goals
1.61IFK Luleå xG
1.55Skellefteå xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: IFK Luleå 1.6 – 1.5 Skellefteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIFK Luleå to win ✓41%2.442.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.44
Draw no betIFK Luleå (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapSkellefteå +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.651.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.17
First team to scoreIFK Luleå to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT IFK Luleå / FT IFK Luleå ✓24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

IFK Luleå – last 6

WWLWWW
26 Sep@ Kubikenborg1–0W
19 Sepvs Lucksta3–1W
16 Sep@ Boden0–1L
12 Sep@ Täfteå2–1W
5 Sepvs Täfteå2–1W
30 Aug@ Lucksta1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Skellefteå – last 6

LWLLDD
26 Sepvs Gottne0–3L
19 Sep@ Boden2–0W
16 Sepvs Täfteå1–2L
12 Sep@ IFK Östersund0–5L
5 Sepvs IFK Östersund2–2D
29 Augvs Boden2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Skellefteå v IFK Luleå3–1
27 Jun 2026IFK Luleå v Skellefteå0–1
IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

More Division 2 Norrland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå?

On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Skellefteå 38%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå?

Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 1–1 Skellefteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå?

IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.