Parma W 62%Draw 23%Ternana W 15%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.33
85%
Betarazi pick
Parma W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Parma W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParma W to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceParma W or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.84
Parma W vs Ternana W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma W welcome Ternana W to Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Serie A Women fixture on Saturday 3 October (11:30 WAT). In the table, Parma W are 10th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; Ternana W are 7th (lower half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Parma W, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lazio W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Ternana W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Como W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ternana W, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Parma W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma W 1.2 xG, Ternana W 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma W 62%, draw 23%, Ternana W 15%.
Lower-risk option: Parma W or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Parma W to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Parma W or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma W 1–0 Ternana W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma W62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
Ternana W15%fair 6.58 · @3.50
1.50Expected goals
1.17Parma W xG
0.33Ternana W xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–026%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Parma W 1.2 – 0.3 Ternana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma W to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Parma W or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Parma W (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Ternana W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Parma W to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma W / FT Parma W✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.84
–
Recent results
Parma W – last 6
DLLLLL
26 Sep
@ Lazio W
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Napoli W
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Lazio W
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Inter Milano W
0–1
L
17 May
vs Juventus W
1–3
L
10 May
@ AC Milan W
1–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ternana W – last 6
LLLLWD
27 Sep
vs Como W
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Fiorentina W
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Roma W
0–2
L
17 May
vs AC Milan W
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sassuolo W
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma W and Ternana W.
Our pick is Parma W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Parma W vs Ternana W?
On our numbers Parma W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ternana W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Parma W vs Ternana W?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma W vs Ternana W?
Our predicted score is Parma W 1–0 Ternana W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Parma W vs Ternana W?
Parma W vs Ternana W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
