Como W 14%Draw 25%Fiorentina W 61%Expected goals 0.70 – 1.71
86%
Betarazi pick
Fiorentina W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Fiorentina W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFiorentina W to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceFiorentina W or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.52
Como W vs Fiorentina W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Como W v Fiorentina W in the Serie A Women, played at Stadio Ferruccio. In the table, Como W are 6th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Fiorentina W are 4th (among the top four) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Como W, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter Milano W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Fiorentina W, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sassuolo W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Fiorentina W 1–0 Como W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Como W 0.7 xG, Fiorentina W 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Como W 14%, draw 25%, Fiorentina W 61%.
Lower-risk option: Fiorentina W or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Fiorentina W to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fiorentina W or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como W 0–1 Fiorentina W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Como W14%fair 6.99 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.30
Fiorentina W61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
2.41Expected goals
0.70Como W xG
1.71Fiorentina W xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Como W 0.7 – 1.7 Fiorentina W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Como W vs Fiorentina W?
Our pick is Fiorentina W or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Como W vs Fiorentina W?
On our numbers Como W have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fiorentina W 61%.
How many goals will there be in Como W vs Fiorentina W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como W vs Fiorentina W?
Our predicted score is Como W 0–1 Fiorentina W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Como W vs Fiorentina W?
Como W vs Fiorentina W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
