Value bet: AD Carmelita to win @ 3.80 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCS Uruguay to win ✗43% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗8% · fair 13.02
CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Liga De Ascenso brings CS Uruguay against AD Carmelita. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, CS Uruguay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; AD Carmelita are 11th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
CS Uruguay, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
AD Carmelita, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aserri FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AD Carmelita, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for CS Uruguay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CS Uruguay 1.3 xG, AD Carmelita 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CS Uruguay 43%, draw 23%, AD Carmelita 34%.
Price worth noting: AD Carmelita to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: CS Uruguay 1–2 AD Carmelita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CS Uruguay43%fair 2.31 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
AD Carmelita34%fair 2.95 · @3.80
2.81Expected goals
1.27CS Uruguay xG
1.53AD Carmelita xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: CS Uruguay 1.3 – 1.5 AD Carmelita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CS Uruguay to win✗
43%
2.31
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
CS Uruguay (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
CS Uruguay +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
AD Carmelita to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Carmelita / FT AD Carmelita✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
8%
13.02
–
Recent results
CS Uruguay – last 6
LWLLDL
7 Apr
@ Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs Cariari Pococi
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Escorpiones Belén
0–2
L
10 Mar
@ Aserri FC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Cariari Pococi
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AD Carmelita – last 6
DDWLWL
31 Mar
@ Aserri FC
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Futbol Consultants Moravia
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Cariari Pococi
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Escorpiones Belén
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Santa Ana
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CS Uruguay and AD Carmelita.
What is the prediction for CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
On our numbers CS Uruguay have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AD Carmelita 34%.
How many goals will there be in CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
Our predicted score is CS Uruguay 1–2 AD Carmelita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
