Value bet: AD Carmelita to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Ana to win ✓46% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 32.94
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Ana travel to face AD Carmelita on Sunday 9 August in the Liga De Ascenso – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, AD Carmelita are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Santa Ana are 3rd (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
AD Carmelita, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with CS Uruguay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Santa Ana, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aserri FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended AD Carmelita 1–2 Santa Ana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Carmelita 1.3 xG, Santa Ana 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Carmelita 29%, draw 25%, Santa Ana 46%.
Price worth noting: AD Carmelita to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Carmelita 1–2 Santa Ana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Carmelita29%fair 3.44 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.60
Santa Ana46%fair 2.15 · @1.73
2.66Expected goals
1.28AD Carmelita xG
1.38Santa Ana xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.3 – 1.4 Santa Ana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Ana 46%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 1–2 Santa Ana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
