Value bet: Municipal Grecia to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal Grecia to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal Grecia travel to face Aserri FC on Monday 24 August in the Liga De Ascenso – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Aserri FC, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Municipal Grecia, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santa Cruz FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aserri FC 1.0 xG, Municipal Grecia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aserri FC 33%, draw 21%, Municipal Grecia 46%.
Price worth noting: Municipal Grecia to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aserri FC 1–1 Municipal Grecia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aserri FC33%fair 3.04 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Municipal Grecia46%fair 2.17 · @2.30
2.34Expected goals
1.03Aserri FC xG
1.30Municipal Grecia xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.0 – 1.3 Municipal Grecia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal Grecia to win✗
46%
2.17
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Municipal Grecia (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Aserri FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Municipal Grecia to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal Grecia / FT Municipal Grecia✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.94
–
Recent results
Aserri FC – last 6
DLWLLD
22 Aug
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Quepos Cambute
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Guadalupe FC
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Santa Ana
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs ADR Jicaral
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs AD Carmelita
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Municipal Grecia – last 6
WWLDDL
16 Aug
@ Santa Cruz FC
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Quepos Cambute
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Inter San Carlos
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs AD Cofutpa
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ ADR Jicaral
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Santa Cruz FC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aserri FC and Municipal Grecia.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Municipal Grecia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 1–1 Municipal Grecia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
