Value bet: Aserri FC to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAserri FC to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.44
Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Liga De Ascenso brings Santa Cruz FC against Aserri FC. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Santa Cruz FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to ADR Jicaral, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Aserri FC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AD Carmelita, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aserri FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Santa Cruz FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Cruz FC 1.4 xG, Aserri FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Cruz FC 37%, draw 20%, Aserri FC 43%.
Price worth noting: Aserri FC to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Cruz FC 1–2 Aserri FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Cruz FC37%fair 2.69 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Aserri FC43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
2.99Expected goals
1.43Santa Cruz FC xG
1.56Aserri FC xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz FC 1.4 – 1.6 Aserri FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aserri FC to win✓
43%
2.34
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Aserri FC (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Santa Cruz FC +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Aserri FC to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aserri FC / FT Aserri FC✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Santa Cruz FC – last 6
LLWLLW
23 Aug
@ ADR Jicaral
1–4
L
16 Aug
vs Municipal Grecia
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs AD Cofutpa
3–1
W
2 Aug
@ Quepos Cambute
0–4
L
25 Apr
@ Escorpiones Belén
1–4
L
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Upala
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Aserri FC – last 6
WWDLWL
28 Aug
@ AD Carmelita
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Municipal Grecia
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Quepos Cambute
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Guadalupe FC
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Santa Ana
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Cruz FC and Aserri FC.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC?
On our numbers Santa Cruz FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aserri FC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz FC 1–2 Aserri FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC?
Santa Cruz FC vs Aserri FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
