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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cariari Pococi v AD Carmelita: numbers & prediction

Liga De Ascenso · Costa-Rica
1–1
FT
Cariari Pococi 62%Draw 16%AD Carmelita 22% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.96
62%
Betarazi pick

Cariari Pococi to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultCariari Pococi to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.54

Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cariari Pococi welcome AD Carmelita for a Liga De Ascenso fixture on Monday 14 September (00:00 WAT). In the table, Cariari Pococi are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; AD Carmelita are 11th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Cariari Pococi, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aserri FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

AD Carmelita, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cariari Pococi, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for AD Carmelita.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Cariari Pococi 2–1 AD Carmelita.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cariari Pococi 1.9 xG, AD Carmelita 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cariari Pococi 62%, draw 16%, AD Carmelita 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cariari Pococi to win (62%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cariari Pococi 1–0 AD Carmelita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cariari Pococi62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @3.50
AD Carmelita22%fair 4.50 · @3.40
2.83Expected goals
1.87Cariari Pococi xG
0.96AD Carmelita xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Cariari Pococi 1.9 – 1.0 AD Carmelita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCariari Pococi to win ✗62%1.611.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betCariari Pococi (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapAD Carmelita +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreCariari Pococi to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultCariari Pococi ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cariari Pococi / FT Cariari Pococi ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%15.54–

Recent results

Cariari Pococi – last 6

DDWWLD
6 Sep@ Aserri FC1–1D
29 Augvs Guadalupe FC3–3D
21 Aug@ Futbol Consultants Moravia1–0W
8 Aug@ CS Uruguay1–0W
29 Mar@ CS Uruguay0–1L
26 Marvs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AD Carmelita – last 6

LLWDLD
7 Sepvs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–2L
28 Augvs Aserri FC1–2L
25 Aug@ Guadalupe FC1–0W
14 Augvs Futbol Consultants Moravia1–1D
9 Augvs Santa Ana2–3L
2 Aug@ CS Uruguay2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Mar 2026Cariari Pococi v AD Carmelita2–1
Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita head-to-head page →

Liga De Ascenso table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rosario261169+339
2ADR Jicaral12831+1427
3Santa Ana14905+727
4Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC14653+123
5Cariari Pococi14644+422
6Municipal Grecia12633+321
7Guadalupe FC14635-121
8AD Sarchí12624+120
9Futbol Consultants Moravia14617+619
10Quepos Cambute12615+419
11AD Carmelita14446+216
12CS Uruguay14239-189
13AD Cofutpa12219-137
14Santa Cruz FC122010-136

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?

Our pick is Cariari Pococi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?

On our numbers Cariari Pococi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and AD Carmelita 22%.

How many goals will there be in Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?

Our predicted score is Cariari Pococi 1–0 AD Carmelita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?

Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.