Value bet: CS Uruguay to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAD Carmelita to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CS Uruguay travel to face AD Carmelita on Friday 18 September in the Liga De Ascenso – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, AD Carmelita are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; CS Uruguay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
AD Carmelita, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cariari Pococi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
CS Uruguay, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aserri FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended CS Uruguay 2–2 AD Carmelita.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Carmelita 1.4 xG, CS Uruguay 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Carmelita 41%, draw 22%, CS Uruguay 38%.
Price worth noting: CS Uruguay to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Carmelita 2–1 CS Uruguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Carmelita41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
CS Uruguay38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.35AD Carmelita xG
1.29CS Uruguay xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.4 – 1.3 CS Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CS Uruguay 38%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 2–1 CS Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
