Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Liga De Ascenso brings AD Carmelita against Santa Ana at Estadio de Piedades. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, AD Carmelita are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Santa Ana are 3rd (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
AD Carmelita, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over CS Uruguay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Santa Ana, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aserri FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santa Ana, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for AD Carmelita.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended AD Carmelita 2–3 Santa Ana. The last 2 head-to-heads: AD Carmelita 0 wins, Santa Ana 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Carmelita 1.5 xG, Santa Ana 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Carmelita 40%, draw 22%, Santa Ana 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Carmelita 2–1 Santa Ana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Carmelita40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Santa Ana38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
2.86Expected goals
1.45AD Carmelita xG
1.41Santa Ana xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.5 – 1.4 Santa Ana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santa Ana 38%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 2–1 Santa Ana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Piedades.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aserri FC0