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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal Grecia v Santa Cruz FC: numbers & prediction

Liga De Ascenso · Costa-Rica
1–0
FT
Municipal Grecia 59%Draw 23%Santa Cruz FC 18% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.95
59%
Betarazi pick

Municipal Grecia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal Grecia to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceMunicipal Grecia or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Municipal Grecia v Santa Cruz FC in the Liga De Ascenso. In the table, Municipal Grecia are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 12 matches; Santa Cruz FC are 14th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Municipal Grecia, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Quepos Cambute, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Santa Cruz FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to AD Cofutpa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Municipal Grecia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Santa Cruz FC.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Santa Cruz FC 1–2 Municipal Grecia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Municipal Grecia 1 win, Santa Cruz FC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Grecia 1.9 xG, Santa Cruz FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Grecia 59%, draw 23%, Santa Cruz FC 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Municipal Grecia or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Municipal Grecia to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Grecia 1–0 Santa Cruz FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal Grecia59%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Santa Cruz FC18%fair 5.63 · @4.50
2.87Expected goals
1.92Municipal Grecia xG
0.95Santa Cruz FC xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Municipal Grecia 1.9 – 1.0 Santa Cruz FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal Grecia to win ✓59%1.681.67
Double chanceMunicipal Grecia or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.75
Draw no betMunicipal Grecia (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapSanta Cruz FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreMunicipal Grecia to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultMunicipal Grecia ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal Grecia / FT Municipal Grecia ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Municipal Grecia – last 6

LDDWLW
27 Sep@ Quepos Cambute0–1L
13 Sepvs ADR Jicaral1–1D
8 Sep@ AD Cofutpa0–0D
30 Augvs AD Sarchí1–0W
24 Aug@ Aserri FC2–3L
16 Aug@ Santa Cruz FC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santa Cruz FC – last 6

LLWLLL
27 Sep@ AD Cofutpa1–3L
20 Sepvs Quepos Cambute0–2L
13 Sepvs AD Sarchí4–0W
30 Augvs Aserri FC1–2L
23 Aug@ ADR Jicaral1–4L
16 Augvs Municipal Grecia1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Santa Cruz FC v Municipal Grecia1–2
8 Mar 2026Santa Cruz FC v Municipal Grecia1–0
Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC head-to-head page →

Liga De Ascenso table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rosario261169+339
2ADR Jicaral12831+1427
3Santa Ana14905+727
4Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC14653+123
5Cariari Pococi14644+422
6Municipal Grecia12633+321
7Guadalupe FC14635-121
8AD Sarchí12624+120
9Futbol Consultants Moravia14617+619
10Quepos Cambute12615+419
11AD Carmelita14446+216
12CS Uruguay14239-189
13AD Cofutpa12219-137
14Santa Cruz FC122010-136

More Liga De Ascenso predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC?

Our pick is Municipal Grecia to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC?

On our numbers Municipal Grecia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Cruz FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC?

Our predicted score is Municipal Grecia 1–0 Santa Cruz FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC?

Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.