AD Carmelita 45%Draw 23%Guadalupe FC 32%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.40
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: AD Carmelita to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAD Carmelita to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AD Carmelita welcome Guadalupe FC for a Liga De Ascenso fixture on Saturday 10 October (03:00 WAT). In the table, AD Carmelita are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Guadalupe FC are 7th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
AD Carmelita, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Futbol Consultants Moravia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guadalupe FC, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aserri FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AD Carmelita, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Guadalupe FC.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Aug 2026) it ended Guadalupe FC 0–1 AD Carmelita.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Carmelita 1.7 xG, Guadalupe FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Carmelita 45%, draw 23%, Guadalupe FC 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: AD Carmelita to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Carmelita 1–1 Guadalupe FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Carmelita45%fair 2.23 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Guadalupe FC32%fair 3.15 · @2.75
3.10Expected goals
1.70AD Carmelita xG
1.40Guadalupe FC xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.7 – 1.4 Guadalupe FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadalupe FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 1–1 Guadalupe FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC?
AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
