Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aserri FC welcome AD Carmelita for a Liga De Ascenso fixture on Sunday 18 October (21:00 WAT).
Current form
Aserri FC, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santa Cruz FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
AD Carmelita, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Guadalupe FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Aug 2026) it ended AD Carmelita 1–2 Aserri FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aserri FC 1 win, AD Carmelita 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aserri FC 1.3 xG, AD Carmelita 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aserri FC 39%, draw 22%, AD Carmelita 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aserri FC 1–1 AD Carmelita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aserri FC39%fair 2.54 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
AD Carmelita39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
2.65Expected goals
1.33Aserri FC xG
1.32AD Carmelita xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.3 – 1.3 AD Carmelita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AD Carmelita 39%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 1–1 AD Carmelita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
