Guadalupe FC 63%Draw 21%Cariari Pococi 16%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.77
84%
Betarazi pick
Guadalupe FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guadalupe FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuadalupe FC to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceGuadalupe FC or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Guadalupe FC v Cariari Pococi in the Liga De Ascenso, played at Estadio Coyella Fonseca. In the table, Guadalupe FC are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Cariari Pococi are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guadalupe FC, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AD Carmelita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cariari Pococi, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Futbol Consultants Moravia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Cariari Pococi 3–3 Guadalupe FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalupe FC 1.8 xG, Cariari Pococi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalupe FC 63%, draw 21%, Cariari Pococi 16%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalupe FC or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Guadalupe FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalupe FC or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalupe FC 1–0 Cariari Pococi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalupe FC63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Cariari Pococi16%fair 6.21 · @3.60
2.59Expected goals
1.82Guadalupe FC xG
0.77Cariari Pococi xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Guadalupe FC 1.8 – 0.8 Cariari Pococi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
Our pick is Guadalupe FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
On our numbers Guadalupe FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cariari Pococi 16%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
Our predicted score is Guadalupe FC 1–0 Cariari Pococi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi?
Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Coyella Fonseca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
