Cariari Pococi 57%Draw 23%Aserri FC 20%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.77
80%
Betarazi pick
Cariari Pococi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cariari Pococi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCariari Pococi to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceCariari Pococi or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cariari Pococi welcome Aserri FC for a Liga De Ascenso fixture on Sunday 25 October (01:00 WAT).
Current form
Cariari Pococi, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guadalupe FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Aserri FC, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to AD Sarchí, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Aserri FC 1–1 Cariari Pococi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cariari Pococi 0 wins, Aserri FC 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cariari Pococi 1.5 xG, Aserri FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cariari Pococi 57%, draw 23%, Aserri FC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Cariari Pococi or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Cariari Pococi to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cariari Pococi or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cariari Pococi 1–0 Aserri FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cariari Pococi57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Aserri FC20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
2.30Expected goals
1.53Cariari Pococi xG
0.77Aserri FC xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Cariari Pococi 1.5 – 0.8 Aserri FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
Our pick is Cariari Pococi or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
On our numbers Cariari Pococi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aserri FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
Our predicted score is Cariari Pococi 1–0 Aserri FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.