Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cremonese to win @ 1.84 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCremonese to win ✗59% · @1.84
Double chanceCremonese or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Cremonese vs Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Serie B brings Cremonese against Modena at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Cremonese are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Modena are 2nd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Cremonese, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Empoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Modena, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Benevento, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cremonese 1.5 xG, Modena 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cremonese 59%, draw 26%, Modena 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cremonese or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Cremonese to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cremonese or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cremonese 1–0 Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cremonese59%fair 1.71 · @1.84
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.35
Modena16%fair 6.40 · @4.40
2.14Expected goals
1.51Cremonese xG
0.63Modena xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cremonese 1.5 – 0.6 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cremonese to win✗
59%
1.71
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Cremonese or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.05
Draw no bet
Cremonese (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Modena +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Cremonese to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Cremonese – last 6
LWDDWL
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Cittadella
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Giana Erminio
4–0
W
24 May
vs Como
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
WLDWLW
22 Aug
@ Benevento
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Venezia
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Trento
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Virtus Bolzano
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Modena.
Our pick is Cremonese or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cremonese vs Modena?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Modena 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Modena?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 1–0 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Modena?
Cremonese vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
