Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Palermo vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampdoria travel to face Palermo on Monday 7 September in the Serie B, with Stadio Renzo Barbera the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Sampdoria are 15th (lower half) with 11. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palermo, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Mantova, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sampdoria, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juve Stabia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sampdoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.9 xG, Sampdoria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 61%, draw 23%, Sampdoria 16%.
Lower-risk option: Palermo or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palermo to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palermo61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Sampdoria16%fair 6.43 · @4.60
2.75Expected goals
1.89Palermo xG
0.86Sampdoria xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 0.9 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Palermo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Palermo to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Palermo – last 6
WWWWLW
3 Sep
vs Mantova
5–2
W
30 Aug
@ Arezzo
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lecce
2–0
W
11 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Melbourne City
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sampdoria – last 6
LDLWLD
29 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Cesena
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cremonese
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Parma
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Novara
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Cagliari
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Sampdoria.
Our pick is Palermo to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Palermo vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Palermo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sampdoria 16%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Sampdoria?
Palermo vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
