Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Avellino to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAvellino to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Avellino vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 9 October: Avellino v Sampdoria in the Serie B, played at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. In the table, Avellino are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Sampdoria are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Avellino, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ascoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sampdoria, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Catanzaro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Avellino, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sampdoria.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Sampdoria 2–1 Avellino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avellino 1.4 xG, Sampdoria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avellino 40%, draw 24%, Sampdoria 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Avellino to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avellino 1–1 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avellino40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Sampdoria36%fair 2.81 · @2.50
2.70Expected goals
1.40Avellino xG
1.30Sampdoria xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Avellino 1.4 – 1.3 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Avellino vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Avellino have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sampdoria 36%.
How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Avellino vs Sampdoria?
Avellino vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
