Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHellas Verona to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceHellas Verona or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Catanzaro travel to face Hellas Verona on Friday 16 October in the Serie B – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Hellas Verona are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Catanzaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Hellas Verona, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Modena, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Catanzaro, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mantova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hellas Verona, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Catanzaro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hellas Verona 2.2 xG, Catanzaro 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hellas Verona 60%, draw 26%, Catanzaro 15%.
Lower-risk option: Hellas Verona or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Hellas Verona to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hellas Verona or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hellas Verona 2–1 Catanzaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hellas Verona60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.50
Catanzaro15%fair 6.80 · @4.00
3.33Expected goals
2.23Hellas Verona xG
1.10Catanzaro xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hellas Verona 2.2 – 1.1 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hellas Verona or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Draw no bet
Hellas Verona (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Hellas Verona -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Hellas Verona to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Hellas Verona ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Hellas Verona – last 6
LWWLWW
11 Oct
@ Modena
2–3
L
2 Oct
@ FC Lugano
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Benevento
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Catanzaro – last 6
LLWLLL
11 Oct
vs Mantova
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sudtirol
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Pisa
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hellas Verona and Catanzaro.
What is the prediction for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Our pick is Hellas Verona or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Hellas Verona have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Catanzaro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Hellas Verona 2–1 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
