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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Palermo v Carrarese: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Renzo Barbera

Palermo

WWWDW
2–1
FT
Palermo 66%Draw 23%Carrarese 11% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.65
66%
Betarazi pick

Palermo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultPalermo to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88

Palermo vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Serie B brings Palermo against Carrarese at Renzo Barbera. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Carrarese are 17th (lower half) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Palermo, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mantova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Carrarese, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Modena, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Carrarese.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Carrarese 0–1 Palermo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.9 xG, Carrarese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 66%, draw 23%, Carrarese 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Palermo to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–0 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Palermo66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.40
Carrarese11%fair 9.33 · @5.50
2.57Expected goals
1.92Palermo xG
0.65Carrarese xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 0.7 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalermo to win ✓66%1.511.44
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓89%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.70
Draw no betPalermo (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapPalermo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scorePalermo to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultPalermo ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palermo / FT Palermo ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.88–

Recent results

Palermo – last 6

WWWDWW
17 Oct@ Mantova2–0W
10 Oct@ Empoli4–2W
19 Sepvs Padova2–1W
13 Sep@ Avellino1–1D
7 Sepvs Sampdoria3–1W
3 Sepvs Mantova5–2W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Carrarese – last 6

WWLLLD
17 Octvs Modena2–1W
11 Oct@ Padova2–0W
19 Sepvs Benevento0–1L
12 Sep@ Catanzaro0–1L
5 Sepvs Empoli0–1L
29 Aug@ Ascoli1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Carrarese v Palermo0–1
Palermo vs Carrarese head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Carrarese?

Our pick is Palermo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?

On our numbers Palermo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carrarese 11%.

How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Carrarese?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Carrarese?

Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Renzo Barbera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.